You are wondering if a SHTF situation will happen and say you think it would be a war in the middle east or worldwide economic collapse. Maybe you have not been keeping up on world or even national news lately but both are already taking place.
War In The Middle East: Isn't there war raging there already? What is going on in Iraq and Afghanistan??? Isn't Syria fighting a civil war or revolution?
Economic Collapse: It has already started. What has been happening in the European economy and with the U.S. economy? Greece's economy has failed. Spain's economy likewise. France teetering on the edge as are many other European nations. The U.S. economy, as much as some would like to think everything still rosy, essentially has failed. Worst unemployment and inflation since about the 1940s. Gasoline prices at all time highs. The National Debt and our deficit totally out of control.
You think or wonder if people are anticipating a SHTF type of event when they already are going on all around us? Instead of a SHTF situation, I believe we are headed for TEOTWAWKI. Not just war in one region but World War III. Look to China and its disputes over fishing rights with our allies in the Pacific region. More than half of our fleet is being sent there for a reason. Meanwhile, the Red Chinese (but then is there any other type) have teamed up with the Russians to send a naval force to Syria, whom they support. We likely are closer to WWIII than we were to it when Kennedy got all ballsy with the Russians if only because we are weak right now due to having spent so much on two wars and due to the still rippling aftershocks of 9/11 on our economy and because we no longer manufacture almost anything.
The Chinese, who make most of the components that run our electrical grid, have all the spare parts. If we go into a WW, it will not be like WWII - before and during which we were a major industrial nation. Now, we are a nation of service jobs, not manufacturing jobs for the great part. I think that there almost is no way we could shift our manufacturing base from civilian to military production in time, while creating more manufactuing capability, to stay in and win a WW against countries like Russia, China, N. Korea, Iran, Egypt, Pakistan, Venezuela, Cuba and many others. That is unless we go nuclear on a large scale but then everyone does and who wins - the roaches! Who are we going to ally with for ground and naval wars? We have some weak allies right now, the tapped out Japanese, the broke French, the economically collapsed Greeks, the weakened English and Dutch and Australia, India and Germany. In a WW situation, most of those countries, at least the European ones, quite possibly would be overcome by internal uprisings of their Muslim populous.
If none of that happens, I expect a Zombie attack by next year.
Getting back to serious, WWIII may be closer than we imagine, especially with the peckerwood we have in the White House right now who bows and apologizes to everyone and who said, in essence, that when things get tough he will align himself with the Muslims. He sure hasn't seemed to align himself with the United States of America. That alone is a major political SHTF situation.
All the best,
Glenn B